Bad Boy Off Road 300

Short, flat tracks are the second-most common type during the season and the Chase. New Hampshire Motor Speedway is the first of this kind in the playoffs.

Like Chicagoland and Dover, New Hampshire has always been won by a Chase contender, including six current Chasers. With 16 of the fastest drivers in playoff contention, it is almost certain that another Chaser will win the New England 300. That will be the 100th victory for them in 122 starts—meaning 82 percent of all Chase races have gone to current contenders.

LOUDON, NH - JULY 17: Matt Kenseth, driver of the #20 Dollar General Toyota, celebrates in Victory Lane after winning the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series New Hampshire 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2016 in Loudon, New Hampshire. (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)

(Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)

Last week, Chasers dominated the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 400. If not for a late race caution that altered strategy, they would have swept the top five, but Ryan Blaney was able to insert himself into fourth. Still, 13 of the 16 drivers finished 16th or better, leaving only three positions at the very front of the pack for non-Chasers. Two others finished in the top 20, creating an incredibly tight battle for 12th—which is the cutoff to make round two.

At the end of the race, 13 points separate sixth-place Chase Elliott from 15th-place Kyle Larson. Tony Stewart currently sits on the bubble as of this writing in 12th with only a one-point advantage over Austin Dillon, Kevin Harvick, and Larson. Jimmie Johnson will almost certainly join Dillon and Harvick with 2,027 points once penalties are handed out because his car failed the LIS (Laser Inspection Station) after Chicagoland’s race. Stewart, Jamie McMurray, Kurt Busch, and Carl Edwards will move up a position in the standings and this will create a three-way tie for the bubble.

The slightest mistake can be critical. Johnson’s loss of 10 points would not be as catastrophic if he had won the race, but a pit road speeding penalty late in the going dropped him from contention for the victory to 12th. Martin Truex Jr. had a flat tire early, but overcame the lost track position and won last week. He will be hit with the same penalty as Johnson for the same infraction, but in all likelihood gets to keep the win and its automatic advance to round two.

Larson was in a great position to advance in the points, but he cut a tire down just before the final caution waved to set up a green-white-checkered finish. In today’s “No-Driver-Left-Behind” Era, the loss of a lap cost him at least 12 positions—and with that, 12 points.

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New Hampshire 301

The similarly-configured, 1.5- and two-mile tracks dominate the schedule, but close on their heels are flat tracks.

With two races held each year at Phoenix International Raceway, Martinsville Speedway, Pocono Raceway, and this week’s venue New Hampshire Motor Speedway—plus a single event at Indianapolis Motor Speedway and two on a short track that could be considered among many track types (Richmond International Raceway) there are plenty of comparative stats to consider.

New Hampshire, Pocono, and Indy line up in single file—which is actually quite similar to how drivers have to go through the minimally banked corners.

Flat tracks are rhythm courses. Drivers have to hit very precise marks in order to get around the track with maximum speed. On the surface, New Hampshire would not seem to have much in common with the 2.5-mile courses of Pocono and Indy, but they require the same general skill. Drivers have to enter the turns gently and time their acceleration so they get the most velocity exiting the turns. This is the same tactic used on the short frontstretch in Loudon, NH, the short chutes at either end of Indianapolis, or the longest straight in NASCAR in Long Pond, PA.

The best thing about the coming weeks is flat track masters have a chance to establish some domination and separate from the crowd. This also gives fantasy owners an opportunity to differentiate their lineup and lessen some of the reliance on traditionally strong unrestricted, intermediate speedway drivers.

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